Moe's Free NFL Football Picks
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Moe's National Football League Picks

Super Bowl XLVI:  (**Final Picks as of 11:50pm EST 02/03/12**)
Day  Time(EST)        Visitor             Home          O/U     Picks
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02/05  6:30pm  Notes-1 Giants (+3)  vs N.E.          54     Giants, Under
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A Teaser and prop bets are listed at the end of the notes.

Notes: 
     -1-NE is 15-3 straight up over their last 18 games (including playoffs).
	NYG is 12-7 straight up over their last 19 games (including playoffs).
	NYG is 5-0 straight up over their last 5 games.
	NYG was penalized 9 times for 60 yds in the NFC Championship vs SF.
	Belichick (COACH-NE) is 17-6 straight up in NFL playoff games.
	NE O. had 438 total yds in their last game vs NYG.
	T. Brady (QB-NE) had 5,235 passing yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
	T. Brady has a QB Rating of 100+ in 7 of his last 9 games (including playoffs).
	T. Brady had a QB Rating of 57.5 in the AFC Championship vs BAL (0 TDs, 2 INTs).
	T. Brady had 342 passing yds, 2 TDs, 2 INTs, & a lost fumble in his last game vs NYG.
	E. Manning (QB-NYG) had 4,933 total passing yds in the regular season (#4 in the NFL).	
	E. Manning has 3 passing TDs in 3 of his last 4 games (including playoffs).
	E. Manning had 32 completions on 58 pass attempts for 316 yds, 2 TDs, & 0 INTs vs SF.
	E. Manning had 250 passing yds, 2 TDs, & 1 INT in his last game vs NE.
	Bradshaw (RB-NYG) is probable (foot).
	Welker (WR-NE) had 1,569 receiving yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
	Welker had 136 receiving yds in his last game vs NYG.
	Cruz (WR-NYG) had 1,536 receiving yds in the regular season (#3 in the NFL).
	Cruz had 142 receiving yds in the NFC Championship vs SF.
	Nicks (WR-NYG) has 4 TDs over his last 3 playoff games.
	Nicks is probable (shoulder).
	Ochocinco (WR-NE) has only 15 receptions over his last 16 games.
	Gronkowski (TE-NE) is questionable (ankle), but should start.
	Gronkowski has 20 TDs over his last 18 games (including playoffs).
	Gronkowski had 101 receiving yds & a TD in his last game vs NYG.
	NYG OL allowed 6 sacks in the NFC Championship vs SF.
	NYG OL did not allow a sack in their last game vs NE.
	Light (OT-NE) & Vollmer (OT-NE) are probable (illness).
	NE D. allowed 398 total yds in the AFC Championship vs BAL.
	NYG D. had 48 sacks in the regular season (tied for #3 in the NFL).
	NYG D. has 20 sacks over their last 5 games (including playoffs).
	NYG D. allowed only 1 of 13 third down conversions in the NFC Championship vs SF.
	Pierre-Paul (DE-NYG) had 16.5 sacks in the regular season (#4 in the NFL).
	Umenyiora (DE-NYG) is probable (ankle/knee).
	K. Arrington (CB-NE) tied for the NFL lead with 7 INTs in the regular season.
	Webster (CB-NYG) had 6 INTs in the regular season (tied for #2 in the NFL).
	Webster is probable (hamstring).
	NYG had a +7 turover ratio during the regular season.
	NE had a +17 turnover ratio during the regular season (#3 in the NFL).
	NE  O=2  (Rush=20, Pass=2) D=31 (Rush=17, Pass=31) (regular season ratings)
	NYG O=8  (Rush=32, Pass=5) D=27 (Rush=19, Pass=29) (regular season ratings)
	T. Brady had a regular season QB Rating of 105.6 (39 TDs, 12 INTs).
	E. Manning had a regular season QB Rating of 92.9 (29 TDs, 16 INTs).
	*** Final Score Prediction: NYG 30  NE 23

Lock: (1) n/a

7 Pt Teaser: NYG +10 and Under 61

Prop Bets:

Super Bowl MVP: E. Manning (Wager $10 to win $17.50)
Super Bowl MVP: V. Cruz (Wager $10 to win $100.00)
Super Bowl MVP: Field (defensive player) (Wager $10 to win $60)

Jacobs (RB-NYG) will score a TD (Wager $10 to win $18)
Cruz (WR-NYG) Over 88.5 receiving yds (Wager $12.50 to win $10)
Ochocinco (WR-NE) will have 1 or more receptions (Wager $10 to win $10)
Webster (CB-NYG) will have an INT (Wager $10 to win $35)

All stats listed are win-loss-tie...
 
Last Week vs the Spread: 2-0-0		Last Week vs the Over/Unders: 1-1-0
This year vs the Spread: 124-129-12	This Year vs the Over/Unders: 135-126-5
Last Week Lock: 0-1-0			Last Week Teasers: 1-1-0
This Year Locks: 26-29-0		This Year Teasers: 29-22-1
Last Week Also Like: 1-0-0		This Year Also Likes: 33-40-6		
Last Week Upset Pick Straight Up: Hit	Last Week Upset Pick vs the Spread: Hit
This Year Upset Pick Straight Up: 11-8  This Year Upset Pick vs the Spread: 13-5-1
Stay Aways vs the Spread: 17-32-5	Stay Aways vs the Over/Unders: 28-27-0
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