Super Bowl XLIV: (**Final Picks as of 11:15pm EST 02/05/10**)
Day Time(EST) Visitor Home O/U Picks
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02/07 6:30pm Notes-1 N.O. (+5) vs Indy 56.5 Indy, Under
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Byes: None
A Lock & Prop Bets are listed at the end of the notes!
Notes:
-1-Game will be played in Miami's Joe Robbie Stadium.
Scott Green (NFL Ref) will officiate the game.
NO is 15-3 straight up over their last 18 games.
NO is 2-3 straight up over their last 5 games.
IND is 16-2 straight up over their last 18 games.
IND is 2-0 straight up over their last 2 games vs NO.
NO was penalized 9 times for 88 yds in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
IND O. had 461 total yds in the AFC Championship game vs NYJ.
IND O. had 452 total yds in their last game vs NO.
NO O. converted only 3 of 12 3rd downs in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
P. Manning (QB-IND) had 4,500 passing yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
P. Manning has started 209 consecutive games (incuding playoffs).
P. Manning has 366 career TD passes (#3 all-time).
P. Manning had a 123.6 QB Rating in the AFC Championship game vs NYJ (3 TDs, 0 INTs).
P. Manning had a 125.4 QB Rating in his last game vs NO (3 TDs, 0 INTs).
P. Manning is 6-3 straight up over his last 9 playoff games vs teams using 4-3 defenses.
Brees (QB-NO) lost 6 fumbles in the regular season (tied for 3rd most in the NFL).
Brees had a 106.5 QB Rating in the NFC Championship game vs MIN (3 TDs, 0 INTs).
Brees had a 58.2 QB Rating in his last game vs IND (0 TDs, 2 INTs, 1 lost fumble).
Addai (RB-IND) had 118 rushing yds & a TD in his last game vs NO.
R. Wayne (WR-IND) had 1,264 receiving yds in the regular season (tied for #5 in the NFL).
R. Wayne had 115 receiving yds, 2 TDs, & a lost fumble in his last game vs NO.
R. Wayne is probable (knee).
Garcon (WR-IND) had 151 receiving yds & a TD in the AFC Championship game vs NYJ.
Collie (WR-IND) (rookie) had 123 receiving yds & a TD in the AFC Championship game vs NYJ.
D. Clark (TE-IND) led all NFL TEs with 100 receptions in the regular season.
IND OL allowed only 13 sacks in the regular season (#1 in the NFL).
NO OL allowed 20 sacks in the regular season.
IND OL did not allow a sack in their last game vs NO.
NO D. allowed 475 total yds in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
IND D. had 34 sacks in the regular season.
NO D. had 35 sacks in the regular season.
IND D. did not have a sack in the AFC Championship game vs NYJ.
NO D. did not have a sack in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
W. Smith (DE-NO) had 13 sacks in the regular season (#5 in the NFL).
Freeney (DE-IND) had 13.5 sacks in the regular season (tied for #3 in the NFL).
Freeney has 36 forced fumbles over his last 7 seasons (#1 in the NFL in that span).
Freeney is questionable (ankle). Brock (DE-IND) may start.
R. Mathis (DE-IND) had a sack & a forced fumble in his last game vs NO.
Vilma (LB-NO) had an INT & a forced fumble in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
J. Powers (CB-IND) (rookie) is questionable (foot).
T. Porter (CB-NO) had an INT & a forced fumble in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
D. Sharper (SF-NO) tied for the NFL lead with 9 INTs.
Stover (PK-IND) will start over Vinatieri (PK-IND) (knee).
NO forced 5 turnovers in the NFC Championship game vs MIN.
IND had a regular season turnover ratio of +2.
NO had a +11 turnover ratio in the regular season (#3 in the NFL).
IND O=9 (Rush=32, Pass=2) D=18 (Rush=24, Pass=14)
NO O=1 (Rush=6, Pass=4) D=25 (Rush=21, Pass=26)
P. Manning had a regular season QB Rating of 99.9 (33 TDs, 16 INTs).
Brees had a regular season QB Rating of 109.6 (34 TDs, 11 INTs).
*** Final Score Prediction: IND 34 NO 20
Lock: (1) IND -5
Stay Away: NO/IND Under 56.5
Prop Bet Lock: Drew Brees (QB-NO) Total TD Passes: OVER 1.5 (Wager 2.25 to win 1)
Prop Bets Also Like:
Player To Score 1st TD: Dallas Clark (TE-IND) (Wager 1 to win 7)
Player To Score 1st TD: Pierre Thomas (RB-NO) (Wager 1 to win 8)
Peyon Manning (QB-IND) First Pass Is: Complete (Wager 2.50 to win 1)
Reggie Bush (RB-NO): Will score a TD (Wager 1 to win 1.60)
David Thomas (TE-NO) Total Receptions: OVER 2.5 (Wager 1 to win 1.30)
Super Bowl MVP: Peyton Manning (Wager 2 to win 1)
All stats listed are win-loss-tie...
Last Picks vs the spread: 2-0-0 Last Picks vs the Over/Unders: 1-1-0
Locks Last Time: 1-0-0 Teasers Last Time: 2-0
Total vs the spread: 139-118-5 Total vs the Over/Unders: 128-134-4
Total Locks: 29-26-1 Total Teasers: 20-23-1
Total Also Likes: 39-31-3
Upset Pick vs the spread: 11-9-0 Upset Pick straight up: 8-12-0
Stay Aways vs the spread: 28-25-2 Stay Aways vs the Over/Unders: 26-29-0
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