Super Bowl XLIII: (** Final Picks as of 12:15am EST 01/31/09**)
Day Time(EST) NFC AFC O/U Picks
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2/01 6:18pm Notes Arizona (+7) vs Pitts. 46.5 Pitts., Over
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Byes: None
Prop Bets, a teaser, and a lock are listed at the end of the notes.
Notes:
-1-The Game will be played in Tampa, Florida at Raymond James Stadium.
AZ is 3-2 straight up over their last 5 games vs PIT.
PIT was penalized 11 times for 72 yds in their last game vs AZ.
Roethlisberger (QB-PIT) had a QB Rating of 72.9 in his last game vs AZ (2 TDs, 2 INTs).
Roethlisberger had a QB Rating of 84.8 last week vs BAL (1 TD, 0 INTs).
Warner (QB-AZ) had a QB Rating of 99.7 in his last game vs PIT (1 TD, 0 INTs).
Warner had a QB Rating of 145.7 last week vs PHI (4 TDs, 0 INTs).
Warner is 1-0 straight up vs PIT.
Holmes (WR-PIT) had 128 receiving yds & 2 TDs in his last game vs AZ.
Fitzgerald (WR-AZ) had 1,431 receiving yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
Fitzgerald had 10 receptions for 120 yds in his last game vs PIT.
Fitzgerald had 152 receiving yds & 3 TDs in the NFC Championship game vs PHI.
H. Ward (WR-PIT) is probable (knee).
PIT OL allowed 4 sacks in their last game vs AZ.
PIT OL allowed 4 sacks in the AFC Championship game vs BAL.
PIT D. has not allowed a QB to pass for 300+ yds in 18 consecutive games.
LaBoy (DE-AZ) is questionable (biceps).
Dockett (DT-AZ) had 2.5 sacks & a forced fumble in his last game vs PIT.
J. Harrison (LB-PIT) had 16 sacks in the regular season (#4 in the NFL).
Woodley (LB-PIT) had 2 sacks in the AFC Championship game vs BAL.
Rodgers-Cromartie (CB-AZ) (rookie) has an INT in 2 of his last 3 games.
Polamalu (SF-PIT) had 7 INTs in the regular season (tied for #2 in the NFL).
A. Wilson (SF-AZ) had 2 sacks & a forced fumble in the NFC Championship game vs PHI.
Graham (P-AZ) is questionable (groin).
Arrington (KR-AZ) is questionable (knee).
AZ has a +9 turnover ratio in the playoffs this season.
AZ O=4 (Rush=32, Pass=2) D=19 (Rush=16, Pass=22)
PIT O=22 (Rush=23, Pass=17) D=1 (Rush=2, Pass=1)
Warner had a regular season QB Rating of 96.9 (30 TDs, 14 INTs).
Roethlisberger had a regular season QB Rating of 80.1 (17 TDs, 15 INTs).
*** Final Score Prediction: PIT 31 AZ 20
Lock: (1) Over 46.5 AZ/PIT
Prop Bets: Super Bowl MVP: S. Holmes (WR-PIT) at 15 to 1 odds.
Super Bowl MVP: J. Harrison (LB-PIT) at 20 to 1 odds.
PIT has a rushing TD in the first half (Wager 11.5 to win 10)
AZ punts before they score (Wager 16 to win 10)
Roethlisberger (QB-PIT) has Over 1.5 rushing yds (Wager 15.5 to win 10)
Roethlisberger (QB-PIT) has Over 1.5 passing TDs (Wager 15.5 to win 10)
M. Moore (RB-PIT) has Over 12.5 receiving yds (Wager 11.5 to win 10)
S. Holmes (WR-PIT) has Over 61.5 receiving yds (Wager 12.5 to win 10)
7 Pt Teaser: PIT (PICK) and Over 39.5 AZ/PIT
Stay Away: PIT -7
All stats listed are win-loss-tie...
Last Week vs the Spread: 0-2-0 Last Week vs the Over/Unders: 1-1-0
Total vs the Spread: 121-135-10 Total vs the Over/Unders: 129-131-6
Locks last week: 1-0-0 Total Locks: 32-23-0
Teaser picks last week: 0-2-0 Total Teasers: 18-27-1
Also Likes last week: 0-1-0 Total Also Likes: 29-34-1
Upset Pick straight up: 10-12-0 Upset Pick vs the spread: 12-10-0
Stay Away vs the Spread: 24-25-5 Stay Away vs the Over/Under: 24-29-1
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