Round 3 of the 2011 Season Playoffs: (**Final Picks as of 11:42pm EST 01/20/12**)
Day Time(EST) Visitor Home O/U Picks
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01/22 3:00pm Notes-1 Baltimore (+7) at N.E. 50.5 Baltimore, Over
01/22 6:30pm Notes-2 Giants (+2.5) at S.F. 42 Giants, Under
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Byes: None
A Lock, Teasers, etc. are listed at the end of the notes.
Notes:
-1-NE is 14-3 straight up over their last 17 games (including playoffs).
BAL is 13-4 straight up over their last 17 games (including playoffs).
NE is 6-1 straight up in AFC Championship games.
NE was penalized 9 times for 78 yds in their last game vs BAL.
NE O. had 509 total yds last week vs DEN.
Belichick (COACH-NE) is 16-6 straight up in NFL playoff games.
T. Brady (QB-NE) had 363 passing yds, 6 TDs, & an INT last week vs DEN.
T. Brady had 5,235 passing yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
T. Brady had a 48 yds punt last week vs DEN.
T. Brady has a QB Rating of 100+ in 7 of his last 8 games (including playoffs).
Flacco (QB-BAL) has a QB Rating of 100+ in 4 of his last 9 games (including playoffs).
R. Rice (RB-BAL) had 1,364 rushing yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
Welker (WR-NE) had 1,569 receiving yds in the regular season (#2 in the NFL).
Welker is questionable (knee).
Gronkowski (TE-NE) had 145 receiving yds & 3 TDs last week vs DEN.
Gronkowski has 20 TDs over his last 17 games (including playoffs).
Hernandez (TE-NE) is questionable (concussion).
NE OL did not allow a sack last week vs DEN.
BAL OL allowed 5 sacks last week vs HOU.
NE D. allowed only 9 pass completions last week vs DEN.
NE D. had 5 sacks last week vs DEN.
Ngata (DE-BAL) had 2 sacks in his last game vs NE.
Wilfork (DT-NE) had 1.5 sacks last week vs DEN.
Mayo (LB-NE) had 11 solo tackles in his last game vs BAL.
Ninkovich (LB-NE) had 1.5 sacks & a forced fumble last week vs DEN.
Ninkovich is questionable (hip).
L. Webb (CB-BAL) had 2 INTs last week vs HOU.
K. Arrington (CB-NE) tied for the NFL lead with 7 INTs in the regular season.
K. Arrington is probable (foot).
BAL O=15 (Rush=10, Pass=19) D=3 (Rush=2, Pass=4)
NE O=2 (Rush=20, Pass=2) D=31 (Rush=17, Pass=31)
BAL had a +2 turnover ratio during the regular season.
NE had a +17 turnover ratio during the regular season (#3 in the NFL).
Flacco had a regular season QB Rating of 80.9 (20 TDs, 12 INTs).
T. Brady had a regular season QB Rating of 105.6 (39 TDs, 12 INTs).
*** Final Score Prediction: NE 30 BAL 27
-2-NYG is 4-0 straight up over their last 4 games.
NYG is 11-7 straight up over their last 18 games (including playoffs).
SF is 14-3 straight up over their last 17 games (including playoffs).
SF is 12-4-1 vs the spread over their last 17 games (including playoffs).
SF O. had 407 total yds last week vs NO.
NYG O. had 420 total yds last week vs GB.
NYG O. had 395 total yds in their last game vs SF.
E. Manning (QB-NYG) is 4-1 straight up over his last 5 road playoff games.
E. Manning had 4,933 total passing yds in the regular season (#4 in the NFL).
E. Manning has 9 TDs & 2 INTs over his last 5 road playoff games.
E. Manning had 330 passing yds, 3 TDs, & an INT last week vs GB.
E. Manning has 3 passing TDs in each of his last 3 games (including playoffs).
E. Manning had 311 passing yds, 2 TDs, & 2 INTs in his last game vs NYG.
E. Manning is probable (illness).
A. Smith (QB-SF) had 299 passing yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, & a lost fumble last week vs NO.
A. Smith has thrown 201 consecutive passes without an INT.
Nicks (WR-NYG) had 165 receiving yds & 2 TDs last week vs GB.
Nicks has 4 TDs over his last 2 playoff games.
Cruz (WR-NYG) had 1,536 receiving yds in the regular season (#3 in the NFL).
V. Davis (TE-SF) had 180 receiving yds & 2 TDs last week vs NO.
D. Walker (TE-SF) is questionable (jaw).
Ballard (TE-NYG) is questionable (knee).
SF OL allowed 4 sacks last week vs NO.
SF OL allowed 44 sacks in the regular season.
SF D. allowed 472 total yds last week vs NO.
NYG D. had 48 sacks in the regular season (tied for #3 in the NFL).
NYG D. has 17 sacks over their last 4 games (including playoffs).
NYG D. had 3 fumble recoveries & an INT last week vs GB.
Umenyiora (DE-NYG) had 2 sacks & a forced fumble last week vs GB.
Pierre-Paul (DE-NYG) had 16.5 sacks in the regular season (#4 in the NFL).
A. Smith (LB-SF) (rookie) had 14 sacks in the regular season (#5 in the NFL).
Boley (LB-NYG) had 2 sacks last week vs GB.
P. Willis (LB-SF) is questionable (knee).
Bowman (LB-SF) had 10 solo tackles last week vs NO.
Bowman had 10 solo tackles in his last game vs NYG.
C. Rogers (CB-SF) had 2 INTs in his last game vs NYG.
Webster (CB-NYG) had 6 INTs in the regular season (tied for #2 in the NFL).
Goldson (SF-SF) had 11 solo tackles & an INT last week vs NO.
Goldson had 6 INTs in the regular season (tied for #2 in the NFL).
Goldson is questionable (ankle).
D. Grant (SF-NYG) had an INT and a fumble recovery last week vs GB.
Ginn (WR/KR-SF) is questionable (knee).
SF led the NFL with a +28 turnover ratio in the regular season.
NYG had a +7 turover ratio during the regular season.
NYG O=8 (Rush=32, Pass=5) D=27 (Rush=19, Pass=29)
SF O=26 (Rush=8, Pass=29) D=4 (Rush=1, Pass=16)
E. Manning had a regular season QB Rating of 92.9 (29 TDs, 16 INTs).
A. Smith had a regular season QB Rating of 90.7 (17 TDs, 5 INTs).
*** Final Score Prediction: NYG 20 SF 19
Lock: (1) Over 50.5 BAL/NE
6 pt Teaser: NYG +8.5 and Under 48 NYG/SF
7 pt Teaser: BAL +14 and Over 43.5 BAL/NE
Upset Pick: Giants beat the 49ers
Also Like: BAL +7
Stay Away: Under 42 NYG/SF
All stats listed are win-loss-tie...
Last Week vs the Spread: 2-2-0 Last Week vs the Over/Unders: 3-1-0
This year vs the Spread: 122-129-12 This Year vs the Over/Unders: 134-125-5
Last Week Lock: 1-0-0 Last Week Teasers: 1-1-0
This Year Locks: 26-28-0 This Year Teasers: 28-21-1
Last Week Also Like: 1-0-0 This Year Also Likes: 32-40-6
Last Week Upset Pick Straight Up: n/a Last Week Upset Pick vs the Spread: n/a
This Year Upset Pick Straight Up: 10-8 This Year Upset Pick vs the Spread: 12-5-1
Stay Aways vs the Spread: 17-32-5 Stay Aways vs the Over/Unders: 27-27-0
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